19 of the past 24 winners were Irish bred

This stat includes 11 of the past 13 so there really is a modern dominance towards the Irish-bred horses, so let’s rule out the remaining French and GB-bred runners.

Out go I Am Maximus, Kitty’s Light and Nassalam.


That leaves a shortlist of four to pick from based on the stats…

STATTLER and ADAMANTLY CHOSEN for Willie Mullins...

9
Stattlert68
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-5| J: Mr P W Mullins| T: W P Mullins| OR:  158
40/1

22
Adamantly Chosen27
Age: 7|  Weight: 10-9| J: S F O'Keeffe| T: W P Mullins| OR:  148
33/1

ADAMANTLY CHOSEN looks the pick of these two given owner Ronnie Bartlett recently stated Stattler wouldn't run unless there was some 'good' in the going description.

An impressive winner over 3m2f on soft ground at Down Royal on his latest start, Adamantly Chosen looks a good bet to be suited by the trip and is available at 50/1.


DESERTMORE HOUSE and MALINA GIRL (who still need a few horses to come out to get a run)...

Both DESERTMORE HOUSE and MALINA GIRL would have to be considered should either sneak into the race.

Martin Brassil's Desertmore House is a Kerry National winner who had a hurdles prep last time out, while Malina Girl won over almost 3m4f on soft ground at Cheltenham earlier this season.

*All stats courtesy of the


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